50-100k active cases possible in two weeks if new COVID-19 sub-variant enters PHL — OCTA

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AROUND 50,000 to 100,000 active COVID-19 cases can be recorded in the next two weeks if the new COVID-19 sub-variant manages to enter the country, according to the OCTA Research team.

The team sees that 5,000 to 10,000 cases may happen daily, or 50,000 to 100,000 cases any day until mid-May or right after the elections.

During the Laging Handa public briefing, Dr. Guido David says it is possible that the Philippines may follow what happened in the surge of cases in South Africa and in Delhi, india since the situation there is somewhat similar here in the country.

According to David, what worries them is if the new Omicron sub-variant of COVID-19 has already entered the Philippines that would pave the way for the increase in cases.

He said the trajectory of the sub variant is highly transmissible and can spread quickly, but the number of cases will drop quickly since many Filipinos, especially those in other areas, have been vaccinated already.

Whichever, Dr. David said that as of now, they do not see yet the same severity in cases compared to what happened in January, and they don’t see a big number in hospitalization. The numbers can still change, he said, as long as vaccination and the administration of booster doese will continue, including compliance with minimum public health standards.

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